NJ_MachE
Well-Known Member
- Joined
- Feb 10, 2022
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- 3
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- Location
- New Jersey
- Vehicles
- '22 Mach-E Select RWD wComfort/Tech, '16 Honda Fit
The IRS numbers for 2021 add up just fine for me (at least Ford, I didn't check the others)Based on last years %, it doesn't seem like Ford will meet 200k sales by end of the year. Being aggressive and saying 75% of production was sold in NA, it seems like they still won't meet 200K till Q3. Edit ** i didn't include other models but it seems like those numbers are small**
Not sure why IRS can't add but their quarterly # added together does not match to 2021 cumulative #.
From IRS website
projection based on ford numbers
Definitely don't use 2021 numbers to forecast 2022. With the addition of the Lightning and E-Transit this year, combined with a slowly increasing rate of Mach-E sales and a few other eligible vehicles, sales are pretty much guaranteed to hit 200k in Q3. Also, why are you using production data for the Mach-E in your calculation above rather than US sales? The tax credit phase out is based on sales, not production (and Ford's production numbers include vehicles bound to Europe and Canada which will not count towards the cap). You can see my post above to see what I came up with. I think they will hit 200k sales in July or August.