dbsb3233
Well-Known Member
- First Name
- TimCO
- Joined
- Dec 30, 2019
- Threads
- 54
- Messages
- 9,298
- Reaction score
- 10,812
- Location
- Colorado, USA
- Vehicles
- 2021 Mustang Mach-E FE, 2023 Bronco Sport OB
- Occupation
- Retired
I don't care whether calling his ridiculous timeframe "fanboy ridiculous" phases him or not. I doubt he's reading my comments here, but if he is, fine. Because the timeline he predicted in the video I saw a year or two ago WAS utterly ridiculous.In his 2020 video (linked above), one of his themes is that so-called "experts" have been calling him insane and out-of-touch for over a decade now. And yet his predictions keep proving the "experts" wrong. The fact is, Tony Seba is an expert in the timing of technological disruption.
Calling him "fanboy ridiculous" doesn't phase him a bit - he's used to it. It just goes to show how out-of-touch the status quo "experts" are.
Some of his comments in the video I saw made sense though, like how fully autonomous robotaxis will likely displace a huge share of personal car ownership in the future. If they get the price low enough, I wholly agree. It was his timeline that was ridiculous. I wish I knew which video I saw it in a year or two ago (he's got a crapload of them on YouTube), but it was something like 70% by 2023. It was laughable. He loves comparing cars to cell phones. As if most consumers are willing and able to replace their $50,000 cars as frequently as they replace their $500 cell phones. Ha. Total disconnect from reality on that one. And the few wealthier consumers that DO replace their new cars frequently simply sell them to someone else. The car doesn't get destroyed, it still stays on the road for it's lifetime (just with a different owner). It's still got a 10-15 year lifespan on the roads.
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