It can be argued that 2 shades of white, gray, and black are not really colors
- perhaps in future years there will be more real colors...
technically there are no colors only different wave lengthsIt can be argued that 2 shades of white, gray, and black are not really colors
I would like Ultra-Violet please.
And I'm definitely not on that white-gray-black wavelength.
Actually I like both. Going for the bold contrast of the Grabber to start, but may change up to Dark Matter for the GT next year.
I'd take that 1300 number with a grain of salt too. That might be a good estimate for the early going but if they're able to secure more batteries (and any other needed parts) to produce more than 50k, I have little doubt they'll expand the lines as necessary. Just because there's no C shift planned now doesn't mean that won't change for January.
Yes. Rate and flow of batteries dictates everything right now, but... It would be hard to get much capacity increase unless you talk to ALL the supply base. You have already told everyone 50K/yr. If the next supplier, say Borg, says it will max out at 55K motors/yr with current tooling, now you have to tackle that issue. Plant labor is way, way down the list of things to worry about.
<----- Boring. Infinite Blue.There are two types of hot car drivers. Ones that like the darker or blacked out everything look, and ones that like bright colors. Everything else is boring.
What we know seems to indicate that Ford has sold around 60% more cars than planned. And that the 50K was a limit due to batteries. All of which leads to at least the following possible scenarios. None of which are the most likely:
Boring? Clearly you didn't read my post here: https://www.macheforum.com/site/threads/infinite-blue-metallic-mach-e-club.564/post-31446There are two types of hot car drivers. Ones that like the darker or blacked out everything look, and ones that like bright colors. Everything else is boring.
What we know seems to indicate that Ford has sold around 60% more cars than planned. And that the 50K was a limit due to batteries. All of which leads to at least the following possible scenarios. None of which are the most likely:
1. Ford has obtained enough parts for their orders and they'll arrive in a timely manner. If that's the case they might add a third shift, part delivery warranting. If we figure 1300 per week for 2 shifts, for 3 shifts that would work out to not quite 2000 per week. Just call it 2k. 80,000 MME's equals 40 weeks of production. Subtract 8 weeks in 2020 and that means the last MME rolls out no earlier than August 15, 2021. That's optimistic though.
2. Ford has enough parts but they'll be steadily arriving over time. In that case, they probably won't add a third shift and just keep on producing cars as scheduled. In that event with 1300 per week and 8 weeks of production this year, that rolls production into 2022 by a couple of weeks (Late January 2022).
3. Ford has yet to obtain the parts needed and can't. There will be no third shift and they'll build more cars whenever as the 2022 MY parts arrive.
In the latter 2 scenarios production for 80,000 cars goes on until sometime in 2022. Realistically those are 2022 MY cars and might have to be dealt with that way, which would mean the downtime for the minor changes likely for MY 2021 to MY 2022. Plus there's the issue of getting folks to agree to a rollover to 2022 delivery. That might mean refunding some orders, something they probably don't want to be in a position to require from their dealers, plus it just looks bad.
Realistically, Ford is going to need to explain how they're going to come up with 80,000 cars and most of us are going to have to adjust our expectations for delivery to a significantly later date. I personally no longer expect to see my MME until August 2021 or later. Whether I'm willing to wait that long is another question altogether (and one I do not have an answer to).
The 4th scenario is that the 80,000 number is wrong. In which case I hereby officially invoke the ghost of Gilda Radner:
Pilots are just engineers* moving at 500 mph. This is what I do.
*merdicore to bad engineers.
I wouldn't know. Just going by what I've read here and over there. And since the report was Ford is hoping to produce 10,000 customer MME's in the 8 weeks of 2020 customer production well... that's close to 1300/week. Anything else is a bonus. But it still begs the parts issue IF they're oversubscribed by 60%.
Yup.
