SpaceEVDriver
Well-Known Member
- Joined
- Aug 26, 2021
- Threads
- 71
- Messages
- 2,654
- Reaction score
- 4,780
- Location
- Arizona
- Vehicles
- 2022 CA Route 1 AWD, ER; 2023 Lightning Lariat ER
- Occupation
- Planetary Science
Like I do for every vehicle purchase, I did the math before we bought the Mustang. Comparing with any similar capability (AWD) and size (5-seat hatchback midsized SUV) ICE vehicle, I found that our breakeven length of ownership is 3-6 years, average of 4 years, with the Mustang. After 4 years, the Mustang will be paying for itself in lower use costs. I did this math by running simulations including various costs such as the cost of energy, the cost of maintenance, miles driven (average 12,000 miles/year), resale value, and several other parameters.Most people switch to EV because it suppose to be way cheaper than driving on gas. Even all advertisements are how much you can save per year. Unfortunately from what i am seeing the cost of driving EV vs ICE is pretty tight for now. You guys always calculate how much it will cost from point A to point B EV vs ICE but never ask yourself how much more you paid for your EV (just because its an EV its $50000 and above and you prepaid your fuel for couple years ahead). At least to me to save because you switched you have to:
1. Drive a lot per month
2 Charge only on low peak or at home only
3 Keep this car for a long time
4 You don't care about the money
To me EV low cost energy is not there yet but it will happen in the future. And the main pros for now are because it looks cool to have EV ( accelerate fast, its a new tech, nice to try something different, ect ) and you are saving the environment with no emissions.
Be honest and ask yourself why you are buying an EV. i am sure in 80% saving from gas is not the case.
I ran these simulations using EA's DCFC cost of $0.43/kWh as my average electrical energy cost, not my home charger cost of $0.00/kWh fed from solar or $0.10/kWh fed from the grid. I used an average cost of $4.00/gallon of gasoline. And I used the EPA rated efficiency, which in my experience is higher than reality for gasoline and lower than reality for the Mustang. I let each of those parameters vary within 2 standard deviations and I ran 10,000 simulations for each run.
In order for the Mustang cost of ownership not to be better than an ICE vehicle's cost of ownership, I would have to find something that's approximately $30k cheaper and gets around 40-45 mpg. It would not be similarly capable as the Mustang for our purposes, which include long road trips of >1,000 miles and driving on snow/ice packed roads in the winter.
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